Dell’Oro Group projects flat RAN market with 6G CAPEX ramping up by 2030.

A recent report from Dell’Oro Group forecasts that the Radio Access Network (RAN) market will maintain a flat trajectory over the next decade. This projection is pertinent for IT decision-makers in telecommunications as it signals ongoing challenges in revenue growth.

Market Overview

The report indicates that while global RAN revenues grew at a minimal rate of 1 percent annually since 2000, adjusted for inflation reflects a more negative outlook. Analysts question whether advancements in 5G and emerging 6G technologies will alter the stagnation.

Investment Projections

According to Stefan Pongratz, Vice President of RAN and Telecom Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) research at Dell’Oro Group, opportunities for expansion exist, particularly beyond traditional mobile broadband scenarios. However, risks are present, particularly if there is a slowdown in data traffic. The report outlines several forecasts, noting a cumulative investment in 6G RAN between 2029 and 2034 could represent 55 to 60 percent of total RAN capital expenditures during this period.

Future Scenarios

The market report presents a baseline expectation for flat growth over the coming ten years, attributing potential challenges to mobile network utilization rates declining by the end of the decade. It also provides varied scenarios influenced by mobile data growth trends and the expansion of applications such as Fixed Wireless Access.

Additional Information

The Dell’Oro Group’s 6G Advanced Research Report offers insights into technological specifics and regional analyses over the forecasted period. These findings are valuable for stakeholders in telecommunications looking to navigate the complex landscape of RAN technology.

Conclusion

This blog reveals the current status of the RAN market, projecting a flat trajectory while emphasizing the need for strategic planning as investments shift towards 6G. This analysis from Dell’Oro Group reflects ongoing trends relevant to IT leaders in telecommunications.