Dell'Oro Group projects flat RAN market with 6G investments ramping up by 2030 - October 2025

The Dell'Oro Group recently projected a flat trajectory for the Radio Access Network (RAN) market over the next decade. This analysis is crucial for IT decision-makers in telecommunications as IT highlights the ongoing challenges in revenue growth amidst potential investments in 6G technology. In its market overview, the report noted that global RAN revenues have experienced minimal annual growth of approximately 1 percent since 2000. However, factoring in inflation presents a more negative perspective on the situation, raising questions about whether advances in 5G and 6G will provoke any substantial change. Stefan Pongratz, Vice President of RAN and Telecom Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) research at Dell'Oro Group, indicated that investment opportunities could emerge beyond typical mobile broadband contexts. The report suggested a cumulative investment in 6G RAN, projected between 2029 and 2034, could represent 55 to 60 percent of total RAN capital expenditures during that period. The assessment also provided a baseline expectation of flat growth in the RAN sector, attributing potential hurdles to the anticipated decline in mobile network utilization rates by decade's end. IT introduced various scenarios determined by mobile data growth trends and expansion of applications like Fixed Wireless Access. In addition, the Dell'Oro Group's 6G Advanced Research Report includes detailed technological specifics and regional analyses throughout the forecasted period. These findings serve AS essential insights for telecommunications stakeholders navigating the complexities of RAN technology.

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